The lower house of the Russian Parliament today voted to approve the U.S.-Russian Strategic Offensive Reductions Treaty, which aims to cut both countries’ deployed nuclear arsenals by two-thirds by 2012 (see GSN, May 13).
Members of the State Duma voted 294-134 to approve the treaty’s ratification, according to Reuters. The U.S. Senate has already ratified the treaty (see GSN, March 7; Reuters/My Way, May 14).
Approval from the upper house of the Russian parliament, the Federation Council, is still required before Russia can ratify the pact, according to the Associated Press, but no problems are anticipated because the Federation Council has historically followed the Duma’s lead in approving treaties.
During a meeting yesterday with Duma leaders, Russian President Vladimir Putin praised the treaty.
“Its provisions enable us to develop our strategic forces at a level of reasonable sufficiency, in line with the country’s economic capabilities and the dynamics of the military and political situation in the world,” Putin said.
Russian Communist Party lawmakers have opposed the treaty’s ratification. Communist lawmaker Nikolai Kolomeitsev today proposed that the Duma drop the issue, AP reported.
“This treaty is a gift to [U.S. President George W.] Bush,” said Communist Party chief Gennady Zyuganov.
Russian Defense Minister Sergei Ivanov and Foreign Minister Igor Ivanov attended today’s Duma debate which was held behind closed doors to allow lawmakers to receive answers to sensitive questions related to Russia’s nuclear forces, AP reported.
In the draft ratification document, the Duma also called for more funding to maintain Russia’s nuclear arsenal on a “level that would guarantee the deterrence against any aggression” (Vladimir Isachenkov, Associated Press/Yahoo!News, May 14).
By David Ruppe Global Security Newswire
WASHINGTON — Following the lead of their Senate counterparts, the Republican majority of the House Armed Services Committee yesterday largely overcame Democratic challenges and approved new measures to expand nuclear weapon research and to shorten the time needed to prepare a nuclear weapon test (see GSN, May 8).
The action occurred during a continuing markup session of the 2004 defense authorization bill and was accompanied by a candid debate between committee Republicans and Democrats over the merits of researching, developing and building new nuclear weapons. The Senate Armed Services Committee approved similar measures last week (see GSN, May 9).
In a series of nearly or totally party-line votes, the House committee rejected amendments by Democrats that would have:
* cancelled $15 million for studying a nuclear weapon for striking deeply buried targets and $6 million for researching and developing new nuclear weapons (the proposal would have used the money to study ways to use conventional weapons for the same purposes);
* instituted a one-year moratorium on developing all new nuclear weapons in 2004; and
* required the administration to notify Congress 18 months before conducting a nuclear test.
In another nuclear weapons-related Republican victory, the committee approved a measure to shorten the time needed to prepare a nuclear test from the current 32 months to 18 months.
Low-Yield Nuclear Weapons
In a partial victory for the Democrats, however, the committee passed a measure to allow the Energy Department to conduct research, but not development, of low-yield nuclear weapons, which are those with yields equivalent to less than five kilotons of conventional explosives. The Bush administration has argued that such weapons would be potentially useful for striking deeply buried targets and chemical and biological facilities.
The measure, approved in a compromise arranged with Representative John Spratt (D-S.C.), would only partially repeal a 1993 law he co-authored that bans some research and development and all production of low-yield nuclear weapons. The Senate Armed Services Committee passed language that goes further, authorizing a repeal of the ban on research and development.
“We loosened the original prohibition a bit to permit more extensive research, but reaffirmed that it is not the policy of the United States to develop low-yield nuclear weapons,” Spratt said in a statement today.
“The action in the House sends an important message: that the United States is not backsliding towards development of new battlefield nuclear weapons,” he said.
John Isaacs, president of the Council for a Livable World, said the compromise arranged with Representative Curt Weldon (R-Pa.) represented a singular win for Democrats who are in the minority.
“The fact that we did not lose everything is something of a victory,” he said, adding the approved language “maintains the intent of the law passed 10 years ago” by not approving development and production of low-yield nuclear weapons.
Indicating some Republican unhappiness with the compromise, Representative Mac Thornberry (R-Texas) called the Senate version of the bill a better one and Representative Heather Wilson (R-N.M.) said she favored a complete repeal, adding, “That seems to be more of the direction the Senate is going in.”
Debate Over America’s Nuclear Role
As the amendments were being considered, Democrats and Republicans engaged in perhaps their most candid debate so far over the Bush administration’s policies to consider producing nuclear weapons that might be used in roles other than deterrence or as a last resort.
Democrats charged that administration-backed measures approved in the bill would signal that the United States is shifting away from supporting international nonproliferation norms, based on the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty. That treaty’s approach is to encourage countries to abstain from nuclear weapons in exchange for the gradual disarmament of five declared nuclear weapon states, including the United States.
The question, said Silvestre Reyes (D-Texas), is whether the United States is committed to nonproliferation or is it seeking one set of rules for itself and another for the rest of the world.
He expressed concern that pursuing new nuclear weapons would “signal to the world there isn’t much of a difference between a nuclear weapon and a conventional weapon.”
Republicans argued consideration of low-yield nuclear weapons, which would produce less surface damage than larger nuclear weapons, is needed for putting the leadership of potential adversaries at risk.
Thornberry suggested the current U.S. arsenal of large-yield weapons “may not be credible.”
Democrats, however, argued that low-yield nuclear weapons would be ineffective against deeply buried targets while still causing devastating collateral damage.
On U.S. Leadership
At least one Democrat argued the United States should lead by example and refrain from developing new nuclear weapons to encourage adherence to global nonproliferation norms.
That view was challenged by Wilson, who argued that strategy has “failed miserably” to persuade certain countries from refraining from attempts to acquire new nuclear weapons, naming Iran, Iraq, Libya, North Korea and Russia.
“Burying our head in the sand and hoping our example will persuade others to do the same is folly,” she said.
Thornberry questioned Russia’s restraint in developing new nuclear weapons.
“This argument that we have to lead by example and other countries are going to follow along when we show how great and restrained we are, it hasn’t worked as far as Russia” is concerned, he said.
Committee Chairman Duncan Hunter (R-Calif.) stated the United States would need to eventually develop and build new nuclear weapons.
“We’re going to have to develop new nuclear weapons after a while, build new systems. We’ve got aging systems now in our nuclear weapons inventory and we’re going to have to replenish them,” he said.
Weldon, the committee’s second-ranking Republican, however, suggested the idea of developing a new nuclear strategy should be better considered. Weldon said he would introduce today an amendment to create an independent commission to consider future U.S. nuclear weapons strategy over 18 months.
“Perhaps it is time to step back and create a broader commission to assess where we are headed with respect to nuclear weapons,” he said.
By David McGlinchey Global Security Newswire
WASHINGTON — In a sharp rebuttal of longstanding allegations, a former Pakistani general said last month that his country had nothing to gain and much to lose by sending nuclear technology to North Korea.
“It is impossible that you would trade nuclear technology for anything, there is nothing worth it. Especially nothing from North Korea,” said retired Pakistani Brig. Gen. Feroz Khan, now a visiting scholar at Sandia National Laboratories in New Mexico.
The New York Times reported last year that Pakistan had given North Korea nuclear assistance in exchange for missile technology. U.S. officials recently sanctioned a Pakistani company that Washington accuses of providing the nuclear assistance (see GSN, April 1).
A primary reason that Pakistan would not trade nuclear technology for North Korean missiles is China, according to Khan. China has opposed the idea of a nuclear Korean Peninsula and maintains close ties with Islamabad.
“One country Pakistan cannot afford to anger at any cost is China … it is certain, we will never do a thing to anger China. We would lose them as a strategic partner,” he told Global Security Newswire in an interview.
Khan also faulted the United States for its allegations without providing proof of the alleged transfer. To make accusations as serious as nuclear proliferation, “credible evidence must be presented,” he added.
India-Pakistan
India and Pakistan have been making conciliatory statements recently, but Khan said that a productive and meaningful dialogue that produces a lasting peace will most likely not come without outside pressure (see GSN, May 13).
“There is so much venom and so much hatred, they will have to be brought into a dialogue, and there is no hurry to do that,” Khan said.
He also questioned the idea that the two nuclear-armed states are prevented from engaging in another conventional war because of their nuclear arsenals. India and Pakistan have fought three wars since achieving independence from the United Kingdom in 1947.
“They think they can push the situation and they believe the other side will accept it. In this process of brinkmanship, they may be crossing the threshold. It’s hard to manage nukes in a crisis,” Khan said.
South Korean leader Roh Moo-hyun is to meet with U.S. President George W. Bush today in an attempt to find a common approach to the North Korean nuclear crisis, BBC News reported (see GSN, May 13)
Roh is pushing for a peaceful resolution to the standoff, while Bush has not ruled out sanctions or a military strike against North Korea, BBC News reported (BBC News, May 14).
Reactor Construction Continues
While Washington and Seoul seek a common ground, work is continuing on two nuclear reactors in North Korea that are being provided by the United States, South Korea and Japan under a 1994 deal to freeze Pyongyang’s nuclear activities, the Associated Press reported.
“No one has officially said the deal was dead, and work on the reactor project is ongoing,” said Kim Jong-ro, a spokesman at the South Korean Unification Ministry, who said South Korea has paid $850 million toward the effort so far.
The reactor is being built by the Korean Peninsula Energy Development Organization, which is led by the United States and includes South Korea, Japan and the European Union. There are 605 South Korean, 353 Uzbek and 99 North Korean workers involved in the construction, according to the Associated Press (Associated Press/San Francisco Chronicle, May 14).
North Korea Has Several Nuclear Weapons, Former General Claims
A man who said he was a North Korean general before defecting last year to the South claimed that Pyongyang has many nuclear weapons.
“The North Korean army even has tens of nuclear weapons it has developed itself in addition to those made by the former Soviet Union,” the general said in an interview with the Japanese publication Gekkan Gendai.
The general, operating under the pseudonym “An Yong Chol,” said North Korea has four Soviet-made missiles with a range of 8,000 kilometers, sufficient to reach the United States.
The magazine said he was the most senior defector since Hwang Jang Yop, the top ideologue and secretary of the Workers Party, who came to the South in 1997.
Some experts are skeptical about his story.
“The former Soviet Union was most careful not to allow the proliferation of nuclear weapons, even to Warsaw Pact allies,” Hideshi Takesada, a Japanese National Institute for Defense Studies professor, said. “This may possibly be a defector who has been sent by the North or wants to whip up fear as a gift to the North,” he added (News24, May 14).
Washington Reacts to Proclamation
The United States yesterday said it is “regrettable” that North Korea yesterday declared “dead” the 1991 Joint Declaration for a Non-Nuclear Korean Peninsula, which prohibits both countries from developing nuclear weapons, according to U.S. State Department spokesman Philip Reeker.
“It follows North Korea’s violation of its other international nuclear obligations. And again, I would just say that we urge North Korea, in keeping with the desire of its neighbors, of the international community as a whole, to verifiably and irreversibly terminate its nuclear weapons program,” he added (State Department release, May 13).
Russia does not have enough evidence of a clandestine Iranian nuclear weapons program to halt nuclear assistance to Tehran, Russian Nuclear Energy Minister Alexander Rumyantsev said today (see GSN, May 6).
“If the international community gives sufficiently weighty arguments in connection with the Iranian nuclear program not in favor of Iran, we are ready to discuss them” during an upcoming meeting of the International Atomic Energy Agency, Rumyantsev said. “In the course of regular bilateral contacts, the Iranian leadership is constantly assuring us about the exceptionally peaceful nature of its nuclear program. In addition, the construction of the nuclear power plant in Bushehr has been already placed under IAEA control,” he added.
The IAEA is preparing a report on Iran’s nuclear activities and a meeting would be held in Vienna to discuss Tehran’s nuclear program, Rumyantsev said.
After the report is complete, Russia will discuss “relevant recommendations,” he added (German Solomatin, ITAR-Tass, May 14).
|