
This annotated chronology is based on the data sources that follow each entry. Public sources often provide conflicting information on classified military programs. In some cases we are unable to resolve these discrepancies, in others we have deliberately refrained from doing so to highlight the potential influence of false or misleading information as it appeared over time. In many cases, we are unable to independently verify claims. Hence in reviewing this chronology, readers should take into account the credibility of the sources employed here.
Inclusion in this chronology does not necessarily indicate that a particular development is of direct or indirect proliferation significance. Some entries provide international or domestic context for technological development and national policymaking. Moreover, some entries may refer to developments with positive consequences for nonproliferation.
27 January 2004 In Tokyo, officials from Japan and
Iran meet for bilateral consultations on nuclear disarmament and
non-proliferation. A summary posted on the website of the Japanese Ministry of
Foreign Affairs states: "As for Chemical Weapons Convention
(CWC)/Biological Weapons Convention (BWC), both sides stressed the importance of
conventions' universalization, which gains a momentum in the wake of
Libyan accession to CWC, and of strengthening their national implementation by
all member states. The Iranian side explained the current status of its bills to
implement CWC/BWC. The Japanese side appreciated Iranian positive and
constructive stance in the BWC enhancement process based upon the three-year
'work program', particularly in the Annual Meeting of the States
Parties held in November 2003." --The CBW Conventions Bulletin,
No. 63 (March 2004), p. 45.
19 - 30 July 2004 As part of the
preparations for the Second Meeting of the States Parties to the BWC which is to
be held in Geneva in December 2004 a Meeting of Experts is convened in Geneva.
The Iranian delegation sets out its positions on a number of proposals before
the meeting. In regard to the surveillance of infectious disease, the statement
say: "although the BWC lacks a verification mechanism, we do believe that
assigning security and politically oriented responsibilities, such as
investigation of suspicious cases of use of biological weapons, to certain
international organizations such as WHO, puts the humanitarian and fundamental
objectives and mandate of these organizations in jeopardy." In regard to
the issue of alleged use of biological or toxin weapons; "even though
according to the Geneva Protocol of 1925, the 'Use' is prohibited,
but [...] regrettably some States Parties have still kept their reservations to
that effect, that is keeping the right of retaliation for any case of use
against them." --The CBW Conventions Bulletin, No. 65 (September
2004), p. 14.
2 August 2004 In Tehran, the chairman of the
Iranian Supreme National Security Council Foreign Policy Committee says that
since the war with Iraq it has been the policy of Iran to take defensive
measures against chemical, biological and nuclear attacks. In an interview with
IRNA news agency, Seyyed Hoseyn Musavian says that the Ministry of Defense and
Armed Forces Logistics is responsible for enforcement of the policy. --The
CBW Conventions Bulletin, No. 66 (December 2004), p. 35.
22
September 2004 An officer in the Iranian Republic Guards appears on
Iranian television to describe an ongoing military exercise,
"Ashura-5." The officer claims that the exercise has demonstrated
the ability of the Iranian armed forces to oppose invaders even if they are
equipped with "the most destructive bacteriological and chemical
weapons." --Tehran Vision of the Islamic Republic of Iran
Network, 22 September 2004, translated transcript provided by FBIS as
"Guards commander says Iran ready for bacteriological, chemical
warfare," FBIS document IAP20040922000086,
http://www.opensource.gov.
23 November 2004 The US Central
Intelligence Agency submits its Unclassified Report to Congress on the
Acquisition of Technology Relating to Weapons of Mass Destruction and Advanced
Conventional Munitions 1 July Through 31 December 2003 in accordance with
S.721 of the FY1997 Intelligence Authorization Act. In respect to Iran, the
report states that; "Even though Iran is part of the Biological Weapons
Convention (BWC), Tehran probably maintained an offensive BW program. Iran
continued to seek dual-use biotechnical materials, equipment, and expertise that
could be used in Tehran's BW program. Iran probably has the capability to
produce at least small quantities of BW agents." This statement, which
repeats the statements issued on this matter by the CIA for a number of years
now suggests an absence of new developments.
--Unclassified Report to
Congress on the Acquisition of Technology Relating to Weapons of Mass
Destruction and Advanced Conventional Munitions 1 July Through 31 December
2003 (Washington, DC: Office of the Director of Central Intelligence, 2004),
p. 3, http://www.cia.gov/cia/reports/721_reports/pdfs/
721report_july_dec2003.pdf.
19
January 2005 Speaking in Paris at the Middle East, Peace, Stability,
and the Role of Iran seminar Iranian nuclear spokesman Hossein Musavian
says: "Tehran has fully respected its commitments to disarmament treaties
but developed countries have not acted responsibly in the areas of nuclear,
chemical, and biological cooperation for peaceful purposes as stipulated in
international agreements." This statement continues the Iranian tradition
of criticizing western export control regimes such as the Australia Group which
it sees as being noncompliant with the requirements of the
BWC. --"Iranian Official Says Country Ready For Security Cooperation
With Europe," 19 January 2005, FBIS document IAP20050119000107,
http://www.opensource.gov.
21 January 2005 The Cuban and
Iranian governments sign a memorandum of intent formalizing a number of
decisions made on cooperation between the two governments. One of these
decisions will result in the construction, in Iran, of a factory for the
production of Hepatitis B vaccine. The facility is expected to commence
operations by April 2005. --"Cuba and Iran sign memo of intent to
expand cooperation," Havana Granma, 21 January 2005, FBIS document
LAP20050121000064,
http://www.opensource.gov.
11 February
2005 The Washington Post reports that the US government is undertaking a
wide-ranging review of existing intelligence on Iran in the wake of reviews of
intelligence performance on Iraq prior to the US invasion of 2003. One product
of this review will be a memo focusing exclusively on Tehran's chemical,
biological and nuclear capabilities - [which] will reflect an updated
consensus within the intelligence community. -- Dafna Linzer and Walter
Pincus, "U.S. Reviewing its Intelligence on Iran," Washington
Post, 12 February 2005, p. A12,
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/
A17526-2005Feb11.html.
20
February 2005 The German Customs Office of Criminal Investigations (ZKA)
believes that Iran is engaged in efforts to develop biological weapons.
Biological weapons research and development efforts are reportedly being
conducted "in small laboratories of universities, strictly guarded from
the outside world." The ZKA also observes that "Iran has
long-standing experience in the field of bio-technology so that is has the
necessary know-how for operating biological combat agent
programs." --"German intelligence services see Iran possessing
biological, chemical weapons," 20 February 2005, FBIS document
EUP2005022000035, http://www.opensource.gov.
28 February
2006 In testimony before the US Senate Select Committee on Intelligence
the Director of the Defense Intelligence Agency, Lt. General Michael D. Maples,
addresses the question of Iran's pursuit of WMD capabilities. On the issue
of biological weapons General Maples says: "we believe that Iran maintains
offensive chemical and biological weapons capabilities in various stages of
development." --Lieutenant General Michael Maples, Current and
Projected National Security Threats to the United States, Statement for the
Record before the US Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, 28 February 2006,
p. 10, http://www.dia.mil/publicaffairs/Testimonies/statement24.pdf.
9 March 2005 A nine member panel, made up of former senior
government officials, completes a 14 month review of the United States foreign
intelligence gathering capacity and found the intelligence on Iran deficient.
The panel, created by President Bush, has expressed particular concern over the
unreliable quality of intelligence on Iran's weapons of mass destruction
which was unsatisfactory. --Douglas Jehl and Eric Schmitt,
"Intelligence about Iran for Bush is called weak," International
Herald Tribune, 9 March 2005, http://www.lexisnexis.com.
31 March
2005 The Commission on the Intelligence Capabilities of the United States
Regarding Weapons of Mass Destruction presents its final report to the
President. The report notes that the Commission "reviewed the state of the
Intelligence Community's knowledge about the unconventional weapons programs of
several countries that pose current proliferation threats, including Iran, North
Korea, China, and Russia. We cannot discuss many of our findings from these
studies in our unclassified report, but we can say here that we found that we
have only limited access to critical information about several of these
high-priority intelligence targets." --Commission on the Intelligence
Capabilities of the United States Regarding Weapons of Mass Destruction
(Washington, DC: Government Printing Office, 2005), p. 11,
http://www.wmd.gov/report/index.html.
May 2006 The US Central
Intelligence Agency releases its Unclassified Report to Congress on the
Acquisition of Technology Relating to Weapons of Mass Destruction and Advanced
Conventional Munitions for the period 1 January to 31 December 2004. In the
section addressing Iranian biological programs the report states: "As of
2004, the status of Iran's biotechnology infrastructure indicated that at
a minimum, Iran probably had the capability to produce at least small quantities
of BW agents for offensive purposes. Iran continued to seek dual- use
biotechnology materials, equipment, and expertise that is consistent with its
growing legitimate biotechnology industry but could benefit Tehran's BW
program." --Unclassified Report to Congress on the Acquisition of
Technology Relating to Weapons of Mass Destruction and Advanced Conventional
Munitions for the period 1 January to 31 December 2004, (Washington, DC:
Office of the Director of National Intelligence, 2006), p. 3,
http://www.dni.gov/reports/
2004_unclass_report_to_NIC_DO_16Nov04.pdf.
22 September 2006 The United Kingdom's Department of Trade and
Industry issues an updated list of Iranian entities that are considered to be of
potential WMD concern. These entities are end-users of goods for which an export
licence has been refused on end-use grounds related to suspected WMD programs.
The updated list adds three entitites: Amir Kabir University of Technology; M/S
Iran Electromotor; and Oil Industries Engineering and Construction aka
LG/OIEC/IOEC. There are now forty-nine entities on the DTI's list. The list is
intended to help exporters judge which exports might potentially be of concern
on end use grounds, based on previous licensing decisions. The presence of an
entity on the list does not totally preclude the issuing of export licenses;
fifteen entities on the list have had export licenses granted as well as
refused.
--WMD End-Use Control: Licence Applications for Iran, Amended May
2006, http://www.dti.gov.uk/europeandtrade/strategic-exportcontrol/
licensing-policy/end-use-control/page29307.html.
28 - 30 September
2006 The United States Congress passes the Iran Freedom Support Act which
is signed into law by President George W. Bush on September 30th. The law is an
amended version of the 1996 Iran and Libya Sanctions Act. In addition to
authorizing assistance to support democracy in Iran the act attempts to prevent
Iran from acquiring biological weapons and other WMD. It requires that
"mandatory sanctions" be applied to any person who provides any
"goods, services, technology, or other items" which could be used
for biological weapons or weapon of mass destruction. --Jim Abrams,
"House Approves Iran Freedom Support Act," The Associated Press, 28
September 2006, http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/09/28/
AR2006092800941.html; "President Bush Signs H.R. 6138 and H.R.
6198," 30 September 2006,
http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2006/09/20060930-3.html; U.S. Public
Law H.R. 6198. 109th Cong., 2nd sess., 28 September 2006. Iran Freedom of
Support Act,
http://frwebgate.access.gpo.gov/cgi-bin/getdoc.cgi?dbname=109_cong_bills&
docid=f:h6198eh.txt.pdf.
20
November 2006 Speaking at the Sixth Review Conference of the Convention
on Biological Weapons (BWC) the United States Assistant Secretary for
International Security and Nonproliferation, Mr. John C. Rood says: "We
[the United States] believe that the regime in Iran probably has an offensive
biological weapons program in violation of the BWC." Rood did not provide
evidence for his accusations. Speaking in reply, Iranian ambassador Alireza
Moaiyeri, "categorically rejected" the accusation.
--Richard
Waddington, "Iran probably has germ weapons, possibly N.Korea-US,"
Reuters, 20 November 2006, http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/
newsdesk/L20649826.htm; Remarks to the Sixth
Biological Weapons Convention Review Conference John C. Rood, Assistant
Secretary for International Security and Nonproliferation, 20 November 2006,
http://www.state.gov/t/isn/rls/rm/76446.htm; Permanent Mission of the Islamic
Republic of Iran to the United Nations and other International Organizations
Geneva, press release, 20 November 2006 "Statement by H. E. Alireza
Moaiyeri Ambassador, Permanent Representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran
before the Sixth Review Conference of the States Parties to the Convention on
the Prohibition of the Development, Production and Stockpiling of
Bacteriological (Biological) and Toxin Weapons and on their Destruction
(BWC)" http://missions.itu.int/~missiran/
sts2006/06112801BWC.htm.
11 January 2007 In testimony before the US Senate Select
Committee on Intelligence the Director of the Defense Intelligence Agency, Lt.
General Michael D. Maples, addresses the question of Iran"s pursuit of WMD
capabilities. On the issue of biological weapons General Maples says:
"Iran has a growing biotechnology industry, significant pharmaceutical
experience and the overall infrastructure that could be used to support a
biological warfare program. DIA believes Iran is pursuing development of
biological weapons."
--Lieutenant General Michael Maples, Current
and Projected National Security Threats to the United States, Statement for
the Record before the US Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, 11 January 2007,
http://intelligence.senate.gov/hearings.cfm?
hearingid=2467&witnessId=5974.
20 August 2007 Addressing the Biological Weapons Convention
Meeting of Experts in Geneva, Switzerland the Iranian representative notes the
importance of a legally binding compliance mechanism. He states that "the
Fifth and Sixth Review Conferences decided by consensus on the follow-up
mechanism aiming at promotion of common understanding among the States Parties
with the hope that real multilateralism would be revived and the negotiations on
the Protocol on strengthening the Convention would be resumed in a foreseeable
future. We strongly believe that the present follow-up mechanism which is of
limited scope and nature, cannot be considered as a substitute to
afore-mentioned negotiations." --The CBW Conventions Bulletin,
No. 76+77 (October 2007), p. 7.
14 November 2007 Testifying
before a hearing of the National Security and Foreign Affairs subcommittee of
the House Oversight and Government Reform committee on the Regional And Global
Consequences of U.S. Military Action in Iran Dr. Paul Pillar, former Deputy
Director of the CIA Counterterrorism Center addresses the proposition that in
the event of a US attack against Iranian nuclear facilities the Iranian
government may choose to transfer chemical or biological weapons to terrorist
groups for use against the US or its allies. In his testimony Dr. Pillar notes
that in the past "Iran [has] not passed any of these unconventional
weapons to clients or terrorist groups." "The reason is when you ask
what would be the interest of such a regime to pass such weapons to another
group where they would lose control, the interest simply isn't there. It's all
disadvantage rather than advantage. They lose control and if they were ever
used, a group that's known to be a client of Iran's -- say Lebanese Hezbollah --
would automatically be assumed by Washington and everyone else that they would
be acting on Iran's behalf. So there's simply no advantage to it."
--Hearing of the on National Security and Foreign Affairs Subcommittee of
the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee; Subject: Iran: Realities,
Options and Consequences, Part 3: Regional and Global Consequences of U.S.
Military Action in Iran, 14 November 2007, http://web.lexis-nexis.com.
5 February 2008 In testimony before the US Senate Select
Committee on Intelligence the Director of National Intelligence addresses the
question of Iran's pursuit of WMD capabilities. On the issue of biological
weapons Mr. McConnell says: "We assess that Iran has previously conducted
offensive BW agent research and development. Iran continues to seek dual-use
technologies that could be used for biological warfare." --J. Michael
McConnell, Annual Threat Assessment of the Director of National
Intelligence, Statement for the Record before the US Senate Select Committee
on Intelligence, 5 February 2008,
http://www.dni.gov/testimonies/
20080205_transcript.pdf.
27 February 2008
Testifying before the US Senate Committee on Armed Services the Director of the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA), Lt. General Michael D. Maples states: “Tehran continues to seek dual-use biotechnical materials, equipment and expertise which have legitimate uses, but also could enable ongoing biological warfare efforts.”
--Lieutenant General Michael Maples, Current and Projected National Security Threats to the United States, Statement for the Record before the US Senate Committee on Armed Services, 27 February 2008, p. 12. <http://www.dia.mil/publicaffairs/Testimonies/statement_30.pdf>.
3 March 2008
The US Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) releases its Unclassified Report to Congress on the Acquisition of Technology Relating to Weapons of Mass Destruction and Advanced Conventional Munitions for the period 1 January to 31 December 2005. In the section addressing Iranian biological weapons programs the report states: “As of 2005, the status of its [Iran’s] biotechnology infrastructure indicated that at a minimum, Iran probably had the capability to produce at least small quantities of biological warfare (BW) agents for offensive purposes. Iran continued to seek dual-use biotechnology materials, equipment, and expertise that are consistent with its growing legitimate biotechnology industry but could benefit Tehran’s assessed probable BW program.”
[This language essentially repeats that of the 2004 report.]
--Unclassified Report to Congress on the Acquisition of Technology Relating to Weapons of Mass Destruction and Advanced Conventional Munitions for the period 1 January to 31 December 2005, (Washington, DC: Office of the Director of National Intelligence, 2008), p. 2,
<http://www.dni.gov/reports/CDA%2011-14-2006.pdf>.
3 March 2008
The US Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) releases its Unclassified Report to Congress on the Acquisition of Technology Relating to Weapons of Mass Destruction and Advanced Conventional Munitions for the period 1 January to 31 December 2006. In the section addressing Iranian biological warfare programs the report states: “Our assessment of Iran's biotechnology infrastructure indicates that Iran probably has the capability to produce large-quantities of some Biological Warfare (BW) agents for offensive purposes, if it made the decision to do so. Iran continues to seek dual-use biotechnology materials, equipment, and expertise consistent with its growing legitimate biotechnology industry but these components could also advance Tehran's BW capability.”
[This language differs from that of the 2005 report by introducing the asertion that Iran is capable of producing “large quantities” of BW agents as opposed to the “at least small quantities” of the previous report.]
--Unclassified Report to Congress on the Acquisition of Technology Relating to Weapons of Mass Destruction and Advanced Conventional Munitions for the period 1 January to 31 December 2006, (Washington, DC: Office of the Director of National Intelligence, 2008), p. 4, <http://www.dni.gov/reports/Acquisition_Technology_Report_030308.pdf>.
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| Updated April, 2008 |
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