
This annotated chronology is based on the data sources that follow each
entry. Public sources often provide conflicting information on classified
military programs. In some cases we are unable to resolve these discrepancies,
in others we have deliberately refrained from doing so to highlight the
potential influence of false or misleading information as it appeared over time.
In many cases, we are unable to independently verify claims. Hence in reviewing
this chronology, readers should take into account the credibility of the sources
employed here.
Inclusion in this chronology does not necessarily
indicate that a particular development is of direct or indirect proliferation
significance. Some entries provide international or domestic context for
technological development and national policymaking. Moreover, some entries may
refer to developments with positive consequences for
nonproliferation.
29 December 1971
Libya accedes to Protocol for
the Prohibition of the Use in War of Asphyxiating, Poisonous or other Gases, and
of Bacteriological Methods of Warfare, known as the Geneva Protocol of 1925 with
reservations stating that it will remain bound to the agreements set forth
unless another signatory country poses a threat by failing to adhere to the
prohibitions of the Protocol. In such a case, it reserves the right to retaliate
in kind. [Note: similar reservations were made by nearly a third of signing
parties.] Libya also refuses to recognize Israel or indicate
establishment of diplomatic relations upon acceding to the Protocol.
--SIPRI Yearbook 1980 (Taylor & Francis Ltd. and Crane, Russak
& Company, 1980), pp. 376-78.
19 January 1982 Libya
ratifies the Convention on the Prohibition of the Development, Production and
Stockpiling of Bacteriological (Biological) and Toxin Weapons and on Their
Destruction (BWC) without reservations.
--Status of the Convention showing
dates of signature, ratification and accession, The Biological and Toxin
Weapons Convention (BTWC) website, 1995-2004,
<http://www.opbw.org/convention/status.html>.
February 1989
In an attempt to reduce biological weapons proliferation threats,
the U.S. Commerce Department carries out a ban of pathogen culture exports to
Libya, Iran, Iraq, and Syria.
--Jessica Stern, "Dreaded Risks and the
Control of Biological Weapons," International Security 27 (Winter
2002/03), p. 95.
February 1995 Unidentified U.S. intelligence
sources report suspicions that Libya may have received BW "information and
material" from the former South African BW program under apartheid. South
African President Nelson Mandela states that while South Africa no longer has a
BW program, neither has it any "connection with any country, including Libya, in
regard to chemical and biological weapons programmes."
--Thomas Stock, Maria
Haug, and Patricia Radler, "Chemical and Biological Weapon Development and Arms
Control," SIPRI Yearbook 1996: Armaments, Disarmament and International
Security (Oxford, UK: Oxford UP, 1996), p. 687.
March 1995
The U.S. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) issues a public report
implicating Libyan universities in housing basic research facilities for BW
agents, although the offensive or defensive nature of this research is not
explicit. It adds that although the research is underway, the low level of the
country's technological capabilities cannot yet weaponize the agents.
--Perspectives: Biological Weapons Proliferation. Report # 2000/05,
Canadian Security Intelligence Service, 9 June 2000,
<http://www.csis-scrs.gc.ca/pblctns/prspctvs/200005-eng.asp>.
July 1995 U.S. President Bill Clinton declares in his annual Report to
Congress on Adherence to and Compliance with Arms Control Agreements that he
doubts the compliance of Iraq, Iran, China, Egypt, Russia, Syria, Taiwan and
Libya with the Biological Weapons Convention (BTWC).
--Stock, Thomas, Maria
Haug, and Patricia Radler, "Chemical and Biological Weapon Development and Arms
Control," SIPRI Yearbook 1996: Armaments, Disarmament and International
Security (Oxford, UK: Oxford UP, 1996).
1996 Due to an
"inadequate biotechnical foundation," Libya's BW program remains at the research
and development level. Shortcomings in Libya's technical capabilities and
ability to "put agents into deliverable munitions" prevent Libya from being a
sizeable biological warfare force in the near future, according to the U.S.
Department of Defense.
--Proliferation: Threat and Response, U.S.
Department of Defense, November 1997,
<http://www.dod.mil/pubs/prolif97/meafrica.html#libya >.
July 1998
According to the U.S. Arms Control and Disarmament Agency, Libya is
capable of internally producing biological equipment in small quantities to be
used to facilitate its BW capabilities transition from research and development
to weaponization for offensive purposes.
--Perspectives: Biological
Weapons Proliferation. Report #2000/05, Canadian Security Intelligence
Service, 9 June 2000,
<http://www.csis-scrs.gc.ca/pblctns/prspctvs/200005-eng.asp>.
1999
The U.S. CIA, and Arms Control and Disarmament Agency (ACDA) name Libya along with
China, Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Russia, and Syria as countries possessing or actively
pursuing offensive BW capabilities.
--Jean Pascal Zanders and Maria
Wahlberg, "Chemical and Biological Weapons and Arms Control," SIPRI Yearbook
2000: Armaments, Disarmament and International Security (Oxford, UK: Oxford
UP, 2000), p. 526.
November 1999 The trial of Brigadier Wouter
Basson, leader of Project Coast, exposes Project Coast as the coordinating
organization responsible for South Africa's CBW development. In addition to
allegations regarding chemical weapons, Basson also testifies to having received
unspecified cultures from the University of Tripoli.
--Jean Pascal Zanders,
John Hart, and Frida Kuhlau, "Chemical and Biological Weapon Developments and
Arms Control," SIPRI Yearbook 2002: Armaments, Disarmament and International
Security (Oxford, UK: Oxford UP, 2002), pp. 706-707.
19 November
2001 US Under Secretary of State for Arms Control and International
Security John Bolton accuses Libya and five other states of violating the
Biological Weapons Convention (BTWC) by running secret offensive BW programs.
--Jonathan B. Tucker, "A Farewell to Germs: The U.S. Renunciation of
Biological and Toxin Warfare, 1969-1970," International Security 27
(Summer 2002), p. 144.
19 November to 7 December 2001 The 2001
session of the Fifth Biological Weapons Convention Review Conference takes
place, during which the United States accuses Iran, Iraq, North Korea, Libya,
Sudan and Syria of pursuing offensive BW capabilities. Iraq, Iran and Libya deny
such accusations.
--John Hart, Frida Kuhlau and Jacqueline Simon, "Chemical
and Biological Weapons Development and Arms Control," SIPRI Yearbook 2003:
Armaments, Disarmament and International Security (Oxford, UK: Oxford UP,
2003), p. 676; Jean Pascal Zanders, John Hart and Frida Kuhlau, "Chemical and
Biological Weapon Developments and Arms Control," SIPRI Yearbook 2002:
Armaments, Disarmament and International Security (Oxford, UK: Oxford UP,
2002), p. 675.
6 May 2002 U.S. officials suspect Libya of
pursuing biological weapons technology from Cuba, although they cannot confirm
the actual export of such technology from Cuba to Libya. Under Secretary of
State for Arms Control and International Security John Bolton states that
"rogue" countries beyond those cited by President George W. Bush as the "axis of
evil" (North Korea, Iran and Iraq) such as Syria and Libya are particularly
pursuing biological weapons from Cuba. He also notes that although Libya's BW
program remains in the research and design stage, the United States suspects
Libya of possessing small-scale biological agent production capabilities despite
having ratified the Biological Weapons Convention. Libya has not been able to
weaponize the small amount of biological agent it has produced, according to
Bolton, due to the country's "poor technological base."
--"Cuba Markets WMD
Technology to Iran, Libya," Middle East Newsline 4 (15 May 2002),
http://www.menewsline.com/stories/2002/june/06_01_1.html; "U.S. Warns Libya,
Syria to End WMD Programs," Middle East Newsline 4 (7 May 2002),
<http://www.menewsline.com/stories/2002/may/05_21_4.html>.
8 May 2002 Libyan Foreign ministry Spokesperson, Hassouna Shaoush refutes Under
Secretary Bolton's allegations that it has been pursuing chemical, biological
and nuclear weapons stating: "Everybody knows that Libya does not seek to
acquire weapons of mass destruction."
--"Libya Denies Claims of Chemical
Weapons," BBC News, 8 May 2002,
<http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/middle_east/1975365.stm>.
June
2002 U.S. Assistant Secretary of State Carl Ford claims that the United
States possesses evidence that Cuba exports dual use biological weapons
technology to Middle East "rogue" states including Iran, Iraq, Syria and Libya.
[Note: Assistant Secretary Ford does not specify the nature of the evidence to
which he refers.]
--"Cuba Supplies BW Technology to Libya, Syria," Middle
East Newsline 4 (10 June 2002),
<http://www.menewsline.com/stories/2002/july/07_02_4.html>.
12 September 2003 The United Nations Security Council lifts sanctions on
Libya following the government's agreement to pay compensation to the families
of victims of the 1988 Lockerbie terrorist attack.
--"How Khadafi Brought
Libya Back Into the International Fold," Agence France Presse, 27 April 2004,
<http://web.lexis-nexis.com>.
19 December 2003 Colonel
Mu'ammar al-Qadhdhafi pledges to rid Libya of all weapons of mass destruction,
including biological, chemical, and nuclear weapons. Secretary of the General
People's Committee for Foreign Liaison and International Cooperation
Abd-al-Rahman [Muhammad] Shalqam states the following in a news conference,
"...we confirm that Libya will abide by the Non-Proliferation Treaty, the IAEA
Safeguards Agreement and the Biological Weapons convention, as well as accepting
the Additional Protocol of the IAEA Safeguards Agreement and the Biological and
Chemical Weapons Treaty."
--Patrick E. Tyler, "Qaddafi's New Tune
Confounds," New York Times, 30 December 2003,
<http://www.nytimes.com>; "Libya to Eliminate Weapons of Mass
Destruction," JANA, 19 December 2003, in Open Source Center Document
GMP20031219000267, 19 December 2003.
28 December 2003 Ahmad
Ibrahim Mahmud of the state-run Al-Ahram Center for Political and Strategic
Studies in Egypt writes that even though "Libya certainly owns some 100 tons of
Mustard gas," its BW capabilities are "extremely limited." He emphasizes,
however, that in order to produce biological agents such as Bacillus
anthracis, Libya would need to significantly improve its systems of
"preservation, storage, validity and delivery."
--"Egyptian Writers View
Implications, 'Motives' Behind Libyan Decision," FBIS Report, 28 December 2003,
in Open Source Center Document GMP20031229000069.
3 January
2004 The United States renews sanctions first imposed on Libya in 1989,
calling for the Libyan government to pursue concrete actions to follow its
pledge to renounce weapons of mass destruction.
--"How Khadafi Brought Libya
Back Into the International Fold," Agence France Presse, 27 April 2004,
<http://web.lexis-nexis.com>.
23 March 2004 U.S.
Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs William Burns meets with
Colonel Mu'ammar al-Qadhdhafi and Libyan officials in Tripoli on the
future of U.S.-Libyan relations. Secretary Burns reiterates U.S. willingness to
continue assisting Libya in fulfilling its commitments to eliminate its weapons
of mass destruction.
--"State Dept. Official Releases Statement Regarding
U.S.-Libyan Relations," States News Service, 23 March 2004,
<http://web.lexis-nexis.com>.
25 March 2004 British Prime
Minister Tony Blair meets with Colonel Mu'ammar al-Qadhdhafi outside of Tripoli.
Blair states publicly that Libya has "provided 'full and transparent
cooperation' in the dismantling of its weapons of mass destruction programmes."
He also announces that the Shell oil group has won a $200 million contract to
explore for natural gas in Libya and that a British aerospace company is likely
to provide civil aviation services to Libya.
--"Roundup: Gaddafi Gains
Breakthrough with Former British Enemy, Eds: Britain Hopes for Lucrative
Contracts with Libya," Deutsche Presse-Agentur, 25 March 2004,
<http://web.lexis-nexis.com>; Patrick E. Tyler, "Blair Visits Qaddafi,
Ending Libya's Long Estrangement," New York Times, 26 March 2004,
<http://web.lexis-nexis.com>.
Early April 2004 Responding
to requests from U.S. and British officials, Libya publicly announces its
intention to "convert hundreds of its Scud-B missiles into shorter-range, less
powerful weapons for purely defensive purposes and end all military trade with
North Korea."
--Judith Miller, "U.S. Says Libya Will Convert Missiles to
Defensive Weapons," New York Times, 11 April 2004,
<http://web.lexis-nexis.com>.
23 April 2004 The United
States lifts sanctions against Libya. The Iran and Libya Sanctions Act is no
longer applicable to Libya and the Treasury Department modifies sanctions on
U.S. firms and individuals to allow the resumption of most commercial and
financial activities, though restrictions continue to apply to exports of
dual-use items. In Libya, the state-owned National Oil Corporation confirms that
its first shipment of oil to the United States will take place in May.
--"Statement by the Press Secretary," Financial Times Information, 23
April 2004, <http://web.lexis-nexis.com>; Edmund Blair, "Libya Ships First
Crude to U.S. in 20 years," Calgary Herald, 24 April 2004,
<http://web.lexis-nexis.com>.
27 to 28 April 2004 Colonel
Mu'ammar al-Qadhdhafi travels to Brussels to meet with European Commission
President Romano Prodi and Belgian Premier Guy Verhofstadt in pursuit of
normalizing relations with European countries.
--"Qaddafi Visits Europe,"
Facts on File, Inc, 29 April 2004,
<http://web.lexis-nexis.com>.
Early June 2004 U.S.
Assistant Secretary for Commerce William Lash, during a visit to Tripoli, states
that shipments of Libyan oil to the United States have begun.
--Mmegi/The
Reporter, "Libya Supplies U.S. With Oil Again," AllAfrica, Inc., 6 June
2004, <http://web.lexis-nexis.com>.
28 June 2004 The
United States restores formal diplomatic ties with Libya. Assistant Secretary of
State William Burns inaugurates a U.S. liaison office in Tripoli and notes that
Libya will be taking steps to establish diplomatic representation in the United
States.
--"U.S. and Libya Restore Direct Diplomatic Relations After 24
Years," Financial Times Information, 29 June 2004,
<http://web.lexis-nexis.com>.
1 September 2004 A State
Department official announces that the United States hopes to conclude talks
with the Libyan government and declare the country free of WMD by the end of September.
--"US Hopes to Conclude WMD Talks with Libya This Month," Agence
France Presse, 1 September 2004, <http://web.lexis-nexis.com>.
10 September 2004 U.S. President George Bush eases minor
sanctions on Libya. In a memorandum to Secretary of State Colin Powell, he
writes, "I hereby determine and certify that the application of sanctions, as
required by (the Arms Export Control Act), would have a serious adverse effect
on vital United States interests." He encourages the Export-Import Bank to
"guarantee, insure or extend credit, or participate in the extension of credit
in support of United States exports to Libya."
--"Bush lifts minor sanctions
on Libya," Associated Press, 10 September 2004,
<http://web.lexis-nexis.com>.
17 September
2004 High-level discussions between U.S. and Libyan officials are held in
London regarding the final phase of Libya's disarmament pledges.
--"Bush
Prepares to Lift Sanctions against Libya after confirming dismantling of
weapons," National Post, 20 September 2004, p. A9,
<http://web.lexis-nexis.com>.
20 September 2004 President
Bush signs an executive order that "terminates the national emergency declared
in 1986 under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act." This action
makes possible the removal of the "remaining economic restrictions on aviation
services with Libya [and]... unblocks approximately $1.3 billion in assets
frozen under the Libya sanctions program belonging to both Libyan and non-Libyan entities."
--Adam Ereli, U.S. State Department Deputy Spokesperson, Daily
Press Briefing, 20 September 2004,
<http://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/
dpb/2004/36323.htm>; "Statement by the
Press Secretary," Financial Times Information, 20 September 2004,
<http://web.lexis-nexis.com>.
22 September 2004 Both in
New York for a special session of the UN General Assembly, U.S. Secretary of
State Colin Powell and Libyan Foreign Minister Abdurahman Shalgam meet to
discuss the two countries' continued rapprochement. U.S. officials note that the
meeting "was on the highest level in decades."
--Barry Schweid, "Powell
Holds Talks with Libyan Foreign Minister," Associated Press, 23 September 2004,
<http://web.lexis-nexis.com>.
11 October 2004 The Council
of the European Union agrees to pursue "a policy of engagement with Libya." The
Council decides to "repeal the restrictive measures adopted by the EU in
application of UNSCR 748(1992) and 883(1993)" and lift the arms embargo against
Libya. Arms transfers "will be subject to the EU Code of Conduct on Arms
Exports," however, as well as to a post-embargo arms transfer regime currently
being developed.
--2609th Council Meeting: General Affairs and Externals
Relations, Press Release C/04/276, Council of the European Union, 11 October
2004, p. 6, <http://ue.eu.int/Newsroom>.
12 October 2004 Following the European Union's decision to lift its arms embargo on
Libya, British Foreign and Commonwealth Office Minister of State Baroness Symons
travels to Tripoli for three days of meetings with the Libyan government.
--"In Brief," Financial Times Information/China News, 13 October 2004,
<http://web.lexis-nexis.com>.
31 March 2005 The
Commission on the Intelligence Capabilities of the United States Regarding
Weapons of Mass Destruction presents its final report to the President. In
regard to Libya's WMD efforts the report notes that the Commission
"compared the Intelligence Community's judgments concerning Libya's
weapons programs before Tripoli's decision to open them to international
scrutiny with current assessments, thereby providing a rare ‘before'
and ‘after' study of US intelligence assessments." The report
concluded "that collection and analytic efforts with regard to Libya's
weapons programs ... represent, for the most part, an Intelligence Community
success story." It went on to note that "[s]ome discrepancies did
exist between analysts' judgments prior to 2003 and the realities found in
Libya." One of these discrepancies was that "no evidence of an
expected small-scale Libyan biological weapons program has been
uncovered." The report noted that "Libyan declarations have failed
to shed light on Tripoli's plans and intentions for its biological
program" and US – UK efforts to clarify past concerns about
suspected Libyan BW efforts had not been entirely satisfactory. It by stating
that: "As a result, it is not possible to measure with certainty the
accuracy of the Intelligence Community's assessments of Libya's biological
weapons program, and we cannot address further reasons why uncertainty continues
in this unclassified report."
--Commission on the Intelligence
Capabilities of the United States Regarding Weapons of Mass Destruction
(Washington, DC: Government Printing Office, 2005), p. 255-256,
<http://www.wmd.gov/report/chapter2_fm.pdf>.
13 June 2005
Addressing the opening session of the Biological Weapons
Convention Meeting of Experts Libya recalled the efforts that had been made to
negotiate a legally binding instrument to implement all Articles of the
Convention. Libya noted that without such an instrument it was difficult to
verify that there was no non-compliance with the Convention and expressed the
view that the best way to enhance the Convention was through a legally binding
instrument. The statement went on to outline a number of measures that had been
taken, frequently with the UK and the US, to show Libya's compliance with
the Convention and its good intentions.
--The CBW Conventions
Bulletin, No. 68 (June 2005), p. 16.
13-24 June 2005
Libyan representatives attend the Biological Weapons
Convention Meeting of Experts to consider "the content, promulgation, and
adoption of codes of conduct for scientists".
--The CBW Conventions
Bulletin, No. 68 (June 2005), p. 16-19.
May 2006
The US Central Intelligence Agency submits its Unclassified Report to Congress on
the Acquisition of Technology Relating to Weapons of Mass Destruction and
Advanced Conventional Munitions 1 January - 31 December 2004 in accordance
with S.721 of the FY1997 Intelligence Authorization Act. In respect to Libyan BW
efforts, the report states that: "Libya disclosed past intentions to
acquire equipment and develop capabilities related to biological warfare, but it
remained unclear if those activities were offensive or defensive in nature. At
the expert teams' request, Libya provided access to a number of civilian
medical-, bio-technical-, and agricultural-related research centers and
scientists that had "dualuse" potential to support BW-related work.
--Unclassified Report to Congress on the Acquisition of Technology
Relating to Weapons of Mass Destruction and Advanced Conventional Munitions 1
January - 31 December 2004 (Washington, DC: Office of the Director of
Central Intelligence, 2006), p. 4,
<http://www.dni.gov/reports/
2004_unclass_report_to_NIC_DO_16Nov04.pdf>.
26 June 2006
In Tripoli, Libyan Secretary for European
Affairs Abdullati Obidi and UK Minister of State for the Foreign Office Kim
Howells sign an agreement under which the UK pledges to seek UN Security Council
action in the event that Libya is attacked with chemical or biological weapons.
The agreement also sets out a joint pledge to fight the proliferation of weapons
of mass destruction. "I believe that this mutual commitment will serve as
an example to other states that there is a route back into the international
community and the advantages of Libya's WMD decision," says Howells.
--The CBW Conventions Bulletin, No. 72+73 (September 2006), p. 38.
20 November - 8 December 2006
Five Libyan
representatives attend the Sixth Review Conference of the Biological and Toxin
Weapons Convention (BWC) was in Geneva, Switzerland. In his speech to the
plenary session Mr. Mohammed Mansour Elcherif expressed Libya's
disappointment "that the States Parties have not yet reached a mechanism
for the enforcement and implementation of Convention. We had said that we need
to go back to the Additional Protocol as it being the best solution."
--The CBW Conventions Bulletin, No. 74 (December 2006), p. 13;
List of Participants BWC/CONF.VI/INF.8, 24 August 2007, p. 22,
<http://www.opbw.org/rev_cons/6rc/docs/inf/BWC_CONF.VI_INF.8_EN.pdf>.
20-24 August 2007 A Libyan delegation of five attends the Biological Weapons
Convention Meeting of Experts in Geneva, Switzerland.
--List of Participants BWC/MSP/2007/MX/INF
3, 24 August 2007, p. 15,
<http://www.opbw.org/new_process/mx2007/bwc_mx07_INF.3_EN.pdf>.
10-14 December 2007
A Libyan delegation of two attends the Biological Weapons
Convention Meeting of Experts in Geneva, Switzerland. In his statement to the
meeting the Libyan representative describes the efforts of his government in
support of BWC implementation including "setting up the National Committee
for Biological Morality," hosting a variety of seminars and introducing
legislation to regulate the handling of biological materials.
--List of
Participants BWC/MSP/2007/INF 1, 14 December 2007, p. 17,
<http://www.opbw.org/new_process/msp2007/BWC_MSP_2007_INF1.pdf>;
Transcript of the Statement by the Libyan Arab Jamahiriya to the 2007 Meeting
of States Parties of the Biological Weapons Convention,
<http://www.opbw.org/new_process/msp2007/BWC_MSP_2007_
Statement-Libya_E.pdf>.
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Updated June 2008 |
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