The DPRK ranks among the world's largest possessors of chemical weapons. If official
reports and testimonies from North Korean defectors are to be believed, the DPRK
military possesses between 2,500 and 5,000 metric tons of chemical weapons (it
is unclear if this amount includes only CW agents or agents and munitions). The
DPRK's chemical arsenal allegedly include four of the five major classes of CW
agents, including
phosgene (choking),
hydrogen cyanide (blood),
mustard (blister), and
sarin (nerve agent)
(it does not appear to possess nervous system incapacitants such
as BZ). However, a 2002 report by the commander of U.S. Forces in Korea, General
Thomas A. Schwartz, suggests that DPRK is self-sufficient only in World War I
era CW agents such as phosgene,
lewisite,
and mustard blister agents, but not the modern nerve agents.[1] Reports and
documentary evidence from North Korean defectors suggest that the regime tested
chemical agents on humans, especially prisoners, as recently as 2002. One
witness describes how he stole transfer authorizations for prisoners, stating:
"Each document gives sparse biographical details of an individual and authorises
his or her transfer from a prison specifically for the purpose of 'human
experimentation of liquid gas for chemical weapons testing in live experiments.'
Forms are dated as late as July 2002."[2]
Since the DPRK's establishment in 1947, its CW program had uneven success in obtaining
and weaponizing CW agents. However, in the last two decades DPRK appears to have
increased its CW agent production capacity and been able to develop and deploy a
variety of delivery systems. According to defector accounts, DPRK 's long-range
missiles such as the Nodong,
and other ballistic rockets and artillery pieces with calibers larger than 80
mm, are capable of delivering CW agents. North Korea appears to be continuing to
improve its CW delivery capability, as evidenced by development of the KN-2
short-range missile in 2007.[3] Despite DPRK's moribund economy, the quantity
and quality of new artillery placed near the DMZ have increased over the last
several years, to include platforms such as multiple launch rocket systems of up
to 320 mm. These systems pose threats to heavily populated Seoul and the entire
Korean peninsula.[4]
Background
As early as 1947, a Korean People's Army (KPA) manual addressed at least the theory
of CW operational doctrine. By 1954, the KPA had established nuclear,
biological, and chemical (NBC) defense units. It appears that these were
developed according to the Soviet model, and that the chemical weapons program
relied heavily on Chinese assistance. Kim Il Sung's 1961 "Declaration for
Chemicalization" called for the further development of a chemical industry to
support chemical weapons production. It was during this time that DPRK
established the basic organization of the current Nuclear and Chemical Defense
Bureau.[5]
In 1966, for reasons that are unclear, DPRK turned to the Soviets for assistance in
its CW development, which was provided mostly in the form of training manuals
and small quantities of nerve and mustard agents. Following this period of
Soviet-led assistance, DPRK made substantive gains in the CW area.[6] Still, the
U.S. Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) estimated in May 1979 that DPRK had only
a defensive capability in CW. It assumed, however, that the development of an
offensive program would follow. By the late 1980s, sources reported that the
DPRK was capable of producing CW agents in large quantities, and had deployed
large numbers of chemical weapons munitions. In January 1987, the South Korean
MND ireported that the DPRK possessed up to 250 metric tons of chemical weapons,
including blister (mustard) and some nerve agents. (This estimate is varies
somewhat from that made above by General Schwartz, but we have no way to
determine which is correct.) Since then, MND estimates of DPRK chemical ordnance
have increased to the thousands of tons, probably based on information provided
by North Korean defectors, including former members of DPRK military and NBC
defense organizations.[7] In 2006, the MND estimated that DPRK possessed 2,500
to 5,000 metric tons of chemical agents, including nerve agents.[8]
The Suspected DPRK Chemical Weapons Arsenal
The DPRK is believed to possess mustard, phosgene, sarin, and V-series nerve agents.
Dr. Cho'ng Yo'ng-sik from the Korea Research Institute of Chemical Technology
has estimated that DPRK is capable of producing an annual 5,000 metric tons of
CW agents in times of peace. According to him, the DPRK could increase this
production to 12,000 metric tons should the country be placed on war footing.[9]
While an unknown quantity of CW agents is stored in bulk, reportedly a
significant portion of the DPRK stock of BW agents is loaded into artillery
shells and rocket warheads. Due to the DPRK having limited indigenous sources
for precursors of CW agents, it is believed to be concentrating on producing as
much as it can of phosgene, mustard, sarin, and V-agents.[10]
Allegations of Chemical Agent Experimentation on Humans
In 2004, the BBC produced a documentary, entitled "Access to Evil," which alleged
that the DPRK had used political prisoners as test subjects for its chemical
weapons. The documentary featured the testimony of a former North Korean prison
officer who witnessed entire families being gassed. In addition, documentary
evidence in the form of prisoner "letter of transfer" forms that had been
smuggled out of DPRK by an engineer at the February 8 Vinalon Complex in
Hamhung, was presented to corroborate the officer's story. Other defectors have
made similar claims previously (and since), but trustworthy documentary evidence
to support these claims has not been available. Of course, Pyongyang denies
charges made by defectors and it must be noted that the ROK government generally
expresses skepticism of defector claims.[11] As observed by the U.S. Department
of State in 2007, defector allegations are extremely difficult to verify
rigorously due to the DPRK being a closed society.[12]
Delivery Systems
Over half of DPRK's 1.2 million-man army, supported by thousands of artillery
systems, is deployed within 90 miles of the DMZ. Possibly because chemical
agents are best delivered by larger caliber artillery shells and rockets,
beginning in 2002 the DPRK has acted to substantially increase the number of
long-range multiple rocket 280 mm and 320 mm launching systems near the DMZ. The
country's arsenal includes thousands of artillery of various calibers, hundreds
of forward deployed Scud-B,
Frog-5, and Frog-7 missiles, as well as Scud-C
missiles capable of being fitted with chemical warheads. The ROK government has
asserted that half of the DPRK's long-range missiles and almost one-third of its
other artillery weapons are capable of delivering either biological or chemical
agents,[13] although the effectiveness of these weapons are not known. In
October 2007, a South Korean lawmaker, citing intelligence data, claimed that
the DPRK had developed a new short range missile, the KN-2, which reportedly is
a modified version of the Russian SS-21. The solid fuel-propelled KN-2
reportedly has a 120 km range, is capable of delivering a 500 kg payload, and
can carry a chemical warhead.[14]
According to the MND 2008 Defense White Paper, DPRK
deployed a new intermediate range ballistic missile (IRBM) in 2007. The white
paper also states that the DPRK is believed to be continuing to develop its
Taepodong-2 long-range ballistic missile which is estimated to have a range of
6,700 kilometers. The MND notes further that the the missile's maximum range
could be extended if the DPRK reduces the missile's weight or adds a third
propulsion rocket.[17] The implications of these developments for CW are not yet
known, but it is wise to assume that these new missiles are designed to carry a
variety of warheads, including a chemical one.
Source: the Republic of Korea 2000 Defense White Paper (Ministry of National Defense)
Facilities
In 2001, an estimated 12 facilities in DPRK produce and/or store raw chemicals,
precursors, and CW agents. ROK government officials, relying partly on aerial
photographs, determined that the DPRK has eight chemical weapons production
facilities, which are located in Hamhung and Hungnam, South Hamgyong Province;
Ch'ongjin and Aoji, North Hamgyong Province; Sinuiju, North P'yongan Province;
Manp'o, Chaggang Province; and Anju and Sunch'on, South P'yongan Province. In
addition, reportedly there are four research and seven storage facilities.[19]
Two facilities located proximal to the cities of Kanggye and Sakchu are
reportedly equipped to undertake the final preparation and the filling of CW
agents into artillery shells. The testing of agents reportedly is also performed
at these two locations, possibly in very large underground facilities.[20] The
Hamhung Chemical Engineering College appears to be responsible for much of the
training of the KPA personnel in CW defense.
Status
During
the 1990s, a scarcity of precursors required for the manufacture of nerve agents
forced the DPRK to look for foreign sources. In 1996, an ethnic Korean
possessing Japanese citizenship and residing in Japan was caught exporting 50 kg
of sodium fluoride to North Korea by way of cargo vessels bringing food aid.
Supposedly, this chemical was intended for use by a North Korean enterprise for
electroplating purposes. But because sodium fluoride is also a precursor for
sarin and soman nerve agents, Japanese authorities arrested the individual and
charged him for the crime of illegally trading in a controlled substance. The
relatively small amount of this chemical involved in this case would have
allowed the DPRK to produce militarily insignificant amounts of nerve agent, but
the act might have been a test run for subsequent large smuggling or
precursors.[21]
A
more serious incident occurred in September 2003, when DPRK purchased more than
100 metric tons of sodium cyanide from a South Korean man and then successfully
imported it via China. Although the DPRK government claimed that the chemical
would be used for only peaceful purposes, it is well recognized that sodium
cyanide is a dual-use chemical that could be used to manufacture both blood
(hydrogen cyanide) and nerve (tabun) agents. The incident underscores the
challenge associated with controlling the international trade of dual-use
equipment and materials that could be applied to acquire chemical weapons. But
these incidents also point to a serious problem faced by DPRK, namely having a
low capability to domestically manufacture chemical weapon agents precursors,
even relatively simple ones such as sodium cyanide.[22]
While
it would appear as if the ready availability of oil-derived intermediates makes
the large-scale manufacture of CW agents such as the ones listed above well
within the capabilities of the DPRK, it is not clear to what extent it is able
to manufacture large quantities of CW agents and associated munitions given its
limited financial resources.[23] It would appear as if having to choose between
acquiring nuclear weapons, short and long-range missiles, and/or chemical
weapons, the last would probably have the lowest value to the DPRK
government.
North Korea and the Chemical Weapons Convention
In the early 1990s—according to reports from North Korean defectors—the
DPRK Foreign Ministry and the Ministry of the People's Armed Forces debated over
whether the country should join the CWC.
Although the Foreign Ministry apparently was in favor of doing so, the military
was opposed. Kim Jong-Il apparently sided with the latter.
Beginning in 1997, the ROK government tried to convince the DPRK to join the CWC, but to
no avail. The DPRK has also rebuffed similar efforts on the part of the
Organization
for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW)
and the Japanese government. North Korea's accession to the CWC could have
long-term economic advantages by giving the DPRK access to trade in
treaty-controlled chemicals and technology. In the short term, however, North
Korea is not likely to reap immediate benefits by joining the CWC regime.
[24]
It bears noting that DPRK has refused to acknowledge having chemical weapons as
called for by UN Security Council Resolution 1718, which was passed in October
2006 following North Korea's test of a nuclear device.[25]
Sources:
[1] Statement of General Thomas A. Schwartz, Commander in Chief United Nations
Command/Combined Forces Command; and Commander, United States Forces Korea,
before the 107th Congress, Senate Armed Forces Committee, 05 March 2002,
www.shaps.hawaii.edu/ security/ us/ schwartz_ 2002.html.
[2] Jasper Becker, "North Koreans Take Revenge on Chemical Tests Whistleblowers,"
The Independent (London), 08 February 2004, www.independent.co.uk/ news/ world/
asia/ north- koreans- take- revenge- on- chemical- tests- whistleblowers- 569230.html.
[3] Pak Tong-sam (from the ROK Agency for Defense Development), "How Far Has the
DPRK's Development of Strategic Weapons Come?" Pukhan, January 1999, pp. 62-71,
translated in FBIS Document ID: FTS19990121001655; Kim Min-seok, JoongAng Ilbo /
Brian Lee, "North Korea Develops New Missile," JoongAng Ilbo (Internet version) 10 October 07,
OSC document KPP20071010971166.
[4] Andy Oppenheimer, ed., "Jane's Nuclear, Biological, and Chemical Defense
2008-2009," August 2008, pp. 30-31, janes-store.ihs.com/ pdf/ Nuclear-
Biological- and- Chemical- Defence- 2008-9.pdf; "The CBRN Threat: Assessing
Asian Capabilities," Asian Military Review, September 2008,
www.asianmilitaryreview.com/ upload/ 200809221211521.pdfhtml.
[5] The International Institute for Strategic Studies, "North Korea's Chemical and
Biological Weapons (CBW) Programmes," in "North Korea's Weapons Programmes: a
Net Assessment," 21 January 2004, p. 56, www.iiss.org/ EasysiteWeb/
getresource.axd? AssetID= 1869& type= full& servicetype= attachmenthtml.
[6] Pak Tong-sam (from the ROK Agency for Defense Development), "How Far Has the
DPRK's Development of Strategic Weapons Come?" Pukhan, January 1999, pp. 62-71,
translated in FBIS Document ID: FTS19990121001655.
[7] The International Institute for Strategic Studies, "North Korea's Chemical and
Biological Weapons (BCW) Programmes" in North Korea's Weapons Programmes: A Net
Assessment, 21 January 2004, www.iiss.org/ publications/ strategic- dossiers/
north- korean- dossier/ north- koreas- weapons-
programmes- a-net- asses/ north- koreas- chemical- and-
weapons- cbw-prog/ html.
[8] Republic of Korea, Ministry of National Defense, 2006
Defense White Paper (English translation), May 2007, p. 74, www.mnd.go.kr; "South Estimates DPRK Has 5,000
Tons of Chemical Weapons, Mostly Sarin," Sinmun (Seoul), 15 April 1995, p. 1, in BBC Summary of World Broadcast.
[9] "Sankei Shimbun: DPRK Manufactures Chemical Weapons,"
Sankei Shimbun, 10 June 2000, in OSC document JPP20000610000025; "North Korea's Military Science
and Technology (Part 2)," Kunsa Nontan, 26 Aug 2005 - 31 Aug 2005.
[10] Daniel A. Pinkston, "The North Korean Ballistic Missile Program," The Strategic
Studies Institute of the United States Army War College, February 2008, p. 49,
www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/ pdffiles/ PUB842.pdf; The International
Institute for Strategic Studies, "North Korea's Chemical and Biological Weapons
(CBW) Programmes," in North Korea's Weapons Programmes: A Net
Assessment, 21 January 2004, p. 56, www.iiss.org/ EasysiteWeb/ getresource.axd? AssetID=
1869&type= full&servicetype= attachmenthtml.
[11] Bertil Lintner, "North Korea and the Poor Man's Bombs,"
Asia Times Online, 9 May 2007, www.atimes.com/atimes/Korea/IE09Dg01.html; Antony Bartnett,
"Revealed: the gas chamber horror of North Korea's gulag," The Guardian, 01
February 2004, www.guardian.co.uk/ world/ 2004/ feb/01/ northkoreahtml.
[12] U.S. Bureau of Democracy, Human Rights, and Labor, "International Religious
Freedom Report 2007," www.state.gov/ g/ drl/ rls/ irf/ 2007/ 90140.htmhtml.
[13] Andy Oppenheimer, ed., "Jane's Nuclear, Biological, and Chemical Defense
2008-2009," August 2008, pp.30-31, janes-store.ihs.com/ pdf/ Nuclear-
Biological- and- Chemical- Defence-2008-9.pdf; "The CBRN Threat: Assessing Asian
Capabilities," Asian Military Review, September
2008, www.asianmilitaryreview.com/ upload/ 200809221211521.pdfhtml.
[14] Kim Min-seok, JoongAng Ilbo / Brian Lee, "North Korea Develops New Missile,"
JoongAng Ilbo (Seoul), 10 October 2007, in OSC document KPP20071010971166.
[15] Trefor Moss, "Launch preparations are for communications satellites, says
Pyongyang," 02 March 2009, www.janes.com/ news/ defence/ triservice/ jdw/
jdw090302_1_n.shtml; Mail Foreign Service, "North Korea sparks fears of strike on U.S. with 'rocket' launch," 24 February
2009, www.dailymail.co.uk/ news/ worldnews/ article- 1153771/ North-Korea-
sparks-fears- strike- U-S- rocket- launch.html.
[16] "U.N. Chief Voices Concern over N. Korean Rocket Launch,"
Yonhap (Seoul), 29 March 2009, OSC document KPP20090329971018.
[17] Republic of Korea, Ministry of National Defense, "Korea Publishes Defense White
Paper 2008," 11 March 2009; www.mnd.go.kr/ webmodule/ htsboard/ template/ read/
engbdread.jsp? typeID= 16&boardid= 88&seqno= 743html. (An English
version of the full 2008 White Paper has not been released as of the time of
this writing.)
[18] "N. Korea's Missile Capability Improves," Korea
Times Online, 06 April 2009, OSC document KPP20090406107005.
[19] Yi Kyo-kwan, "NK Report - North Korea Finishes Deploying Chemical Weapons in
Forward Units," Choson Ilbo, 05 November 2002,
in OSC document KPP20021105000236; "Defector Describes Various DPRK Arms
Factories," Kin Seinichi no Himitsu Heiki Kojo (Tokyo), 25 November 2001, in OSC document KPP20021009000119; The International
Institute for Strategic Studies, "North Korea's Chemical and Biological Weapons (CBW) Program," in
North Korea's Weapons Programs: a Net Assessment,
21 January 2004, p. 56, www.iiss.org/ EasysiteWeb/ getresource.axd? AssetID=
1869& type= full& servicetype= attachmenthtml.
[20] "North Korea's Nuclear Infrastructure," Joseph Bermudez,
Jane's Intelligence Review, February 1994, pp. 74-79, cited at Hungnam information page at
www.globalsecurity.org/ wmd/ world/ dprk/ hungnam.htm; "DPRK Chemical Warfare
Facilities," in Joseph S. Bermudez, Jr., Armed Forces of North Korea (New
York: I.B. Tauris Publishers, 2001), p. 225.
[21] "Trader Nabbed for Illegal Chemical Exports,"
Jiji Press Ticker Service, 8 April 1996, www.lexisnexis.comhtml.
[22] Park Chan-kyong, "ROK Says Sodium Cyanide Shipped to North Korea via China Sep
2003," Agence France Presse, 24 September 2004, in OSC Document
JPP20040924000085.
[23] "DPRK Manufactures Chemical Weapons," Sankei Shimbun, 10
June 2000, in OSC document JPP20000610000025; "North Korea's Military Science
and Technology (Part 2)," Kunsa Nontan, 26 Aug 2005 - 31 Aug 2005.
[24] "Why the Discrepancy Between ROK, DPRK Joint Communiqué Regarding
Military Authorities Talks," Yonhap, 08 April 2002, in OSC document KPP20020408000065; "Actual Problems of Chemical
Disarmament: Chemical Weapons Convention after the First Review Conference,"
Masaryk University (Brno), 12 April 2005, in OSC document GRY20070108000026.
[25] "Security Council condemns nuclear test by Democratic People's Republic of
Korea, unanimously adopting Resolution 1718 (2006)," SC/8853, Security Council
5551st Meeting (PM), 14 October 2006, www.un.org/ News/ Press/ docs/ 2006/
sc8853.doc.htmhtml.
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Updated June 2009 |
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