Strategies for Prevention and Response

Prevention of Chemical Terrorism

lthough the extent of the CW terrorist threat is hotly debated, the existence of terrorist groups seeking to inflict large numbers of civilian casualties can no longer be disputed. Some of these groups appear to be actively seeking chemical weapons. The following measures are being taken to prevent chemical terrorism:

Intelligence Collection and Analysis
The best way to avoid a release of chemical agents by terrorists is to prevent it from happening in the first place. Disrupting an attack requires information about the terrorists' plans, whereabouts, and other details. To prevent chemical terrorist attacks, governments and intelligence organizations need to know:

  • who is buying, selling, or producing chemicals agents or weapons, as well as the key equipment and materials that could be used to make those weapons;


  • which groups intend to carry out mass-casualty attacks;


  • when and where these attacks will take place.

The best way to obtain such knowledge is by infiltrating terrorist groups, intercepting their communications, and recruiting informants. In the United States, international intelligence-gathering on terrorist groups is performed by the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), while domestic intelligence-gathering is the responsibility of the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI).

After September 11, many people criticized the U.S. intelligence community for its failure to prevent the attacks. Some argued that the United States had neglected human intelligence (HUMINT) because of an overemphasis on signals intelligence (SIGINT), including electronic interception methods. Although the intelligence community is trying to improve its HUMINT capabilities, it has a structural bias toward technical intelligence-gathering and analysis. A further problem is competition and turf battles within the U.S. intelligence community, which has impeded the sharing of information among agencies. An important role of the Director of National Intelligence is to improve the coordination of intelligence collection and analysis, but only time will tell if this effort is successful.

 

 
Chapter 5, page 1 of 6

This material is produced independently for NTI by the Center for Nonproliferation Studies at the Monterey Institute of International Studies and does not necessarily reflect the opinions of and has not been independently verified by NTI or its directors, officers, employees, agents.
Copyright © 2004 by MIIS.